Archive for the ‘Outside the Fishbowl’ Category

Political Destiny

Thursday, May 19th, 2011

Demographics is destiny. — Arthur Kemp The political destiny of the U.S. for the next 25 years is sealed. Here's how: In the United States, the proportion of the population aged >65 years is projected to increase from 12.4% in 2000 to 19.6% in 2030 (3). The number of persons aged >65 years ...

Complexity, its burdens and its risks

Wednesday, November 17th, 2010

  I read a good article on the radical re-making of the advertising market today: http://www.fastcompany.com/magazine/151/mayhem-on-madison-avenue.html The article referenced a classic post by Clay Shirky that I'd read before, but was worth revisiting: http://www.shirky.com/weblog/2010/04/the-collapse-of-complex-business-models/ Clay, in turn, referenced a book by Joseph Tainter,  The Collapse of Complex Societies. Tainter makes many compelling observations, as summarized by Shirky: "Complex ...

Great post on lessons learned from world travel

Wednesday, November 17th, 2010

As most of you know, we spent most of the time between 2003 and 2009 exploring the world.  We've got our own list of lessons learned from those travels here: http://www.hackneys.com/travel/index-lessons-byarea.htm Gary Arndt, who spent the last three years doing the same, was recently interviewed by Tim Ferriss and gave his 20 ...

Facing the Future

Saturday, June 12th, 2010

  I compiled my thoughts on the primary challenges the United States faces in the coming decade, and ways to overcome them, here: http://www.hackneys.com/docs/facingthefuture.pdf The primary focus in this collection is on domestic challenges, although some geopolitical issues are addressed. .

Intro to Geopolitics – Public Opinion

Tuesday, June 1st, 2010

  Following is a good overview of a current geopolitical situation from Stratfor, a public domain intelligence analysis firm. If you are interested in the particular issue and region at hand, Israel / Palestinians / rising Turkey / etc., you will probably find it of value. However, its true worth lies in some pearls of geopolitical wisdom, some ...

Elia Kazan’s America

Monday, May 31st, 2010

  As part of our effort to reintegrate into American society and its culture, we’re spending part of our summer in the air conditioned retreat of the Paramount, a faithfully restored theater originally built in 1915 to host vaudeville as the Majestic and transformed in 1930 into a Baroque Revival movie ...

4th Floor Walkup

Tuesday, May 25th, 2010

Yesterday, an entrepreneur told me of his father, who died at 81. The father lived in a 4th floor walkup until he was 79, when a fire in the building forced a move to a new building. The new building came with a wonderful view of the East River and an ...

Circles in Circles

Monday, March 29th, 2010

Much of the story of humans and groups of humans, as well as the challenges that face America, can be told with circles. The core of the story is an individual.   The first unit of human organization is the family.    The next unit of human organization is tribe.  

What We Can Afford

Monday, March 29th, 2010

During America’s brief tenure atop the world’s pecking order between the end of WWII and the beginning of the current era, the country enjoyed an unprecedented run of prosperity and abundance. The country was so successful while producing copious wealth and endless opportunity, it could afford to take on costs ...

Ranking America

Monday, March 8th, 2010

The United States of America enjoys many riches, inherent capabilities and positive attributes, as well as shortcomings, unresolved issues and a converging set of existential threats. The challenge is to be aware of the upsides of the United States without becoming defiantly hostile to any discussion of specific shortcomings or ways ...